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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
74.8 → 76.7 (+1.9 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep STVV (A) | 75.6 +0.9 | |
| 05 Sep Charleroi (A) | 74.8 -0.8 | |
| 12 Sep Lommel SK (H) | 75.0 +0.2 | |
| 17 Sep Viktoria Plzeň (A) | 76.1 +1.1 | |
| 20 Sep Antwerp (A) | 76.7 +0.6 |
76.0 → 76.0 (0.0 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep Celta Vigo (H) | 76.3 +0.3 | |
| 07 Sep Elche (A) | 75.3 -1.0 | |
| 13 Sep Atl Madrid (H) | 74.3 -1.0 | |
| 17 Sep Bournemouth (H) | 75.0 +0.7 | |
| 20 Sep Valencia (A) | 76.0 +1.0 |
There are 7 places between these two in our European rankings, with Union SG the higher.
Over their last 10 matches Union SG have moved +1.9 rating points, against +0.0 for Real Sociedad.
Union SG first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 80.0 on 16 September 2025.
The highest Real Sociedad have ever stood in our European rankings is #12, first reached on 21 January 2023.