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match result explainer
FC Barcelona
93.8 -0.2
45%
1 - 1
27%
Real Madrid
94.2 +0.2
28%
Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
match prediction explainer
Manchester City
45%
2.21
27%
4.76
Liverpool
28%
3.56
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
Premier League
Last update: 22 Mar 2026
season predictions
league table
season predictions glossary
Every day, xGtoday performs 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using the current table and the ratings of the teams. The percentages displayed indicate the results of those simulations.
league table glossary
Rtg: The rating for the team on a 100 point scale
P: Matches played
W: Wins
D: Draws
L: Losses
G: Goals scored
GA: Goals allowed
GD: Goal difference
Pts: Points
xPts: Expected point total at the end of the season based on the mean expectation from the remaining matches
Country Ratings
A country's rating is the average rating of the top 10 rated teams in the country, or if the country has fewer than 10 teams, the average rating of all rated teams in the country
Competition Ratings
A competition's rating is the average rating of the top 10 rated teams in the competition, or if the competition has fewer than 10 teams, the average rating of all rated teams in the competition
Premier League