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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
71.0 → 68.8 (-2.2 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Antwerp (A) | 70.5 +1.2 | |
| 02 Sep Union SG (H) | 69.5 -1.0 | |
| 05 Sep La Louvière (H) | 69.9 +0.4 | |
| 12 Sep SK Beveren (A) | 68.8 -1.1 | |
| 20 Sep Westerlo (H) | 68.8 0.0 |
There are 339 places between these two in our European rankings, with Sint-Truiden (STVV) the higher.
Sint-Truiden (STVV) first climbed to joint #104 in our European rankings on 19 February 2026.
FC Iberia 1999 first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 54.9 on 6 August 2026.