Roma vs Real Madrid prediction | 14 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

14 October 2026
D
26%
4.05

Roma
Ranking: #18 overall, #3 in Italy

81.7 → 83.3 (+1.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-4 31 Aug Lecce (A) 84.0 +0.5
2-1 05 Sep Atalanta (H) 84.7 +0.7
1-1 10 Sep Fenerbahçe (A) 83.6 -1.1
0-2 14 Sep Torino (A) 84.0 +0.4
2-2 19 Sep Inter (H) 83.3 -0.7
Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

89.4 → 90.2 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 04 Sep Betis (A) 90.9 +0.6
2-1 08 Sep Inter (H) 91.3 +0.4
4-1 12 Sep Rayo (H) 91.4 +0.1
2-3 15 Sep Elche (A) 91.7 +0.3
2-1 20 Sep Atl Madrid (A) 90.2 -1.5

Roma vs Real Madrid: by the numbers

Roma trail Real Madrid by 12 places in our proprietary European rankings.

Over their last 10 matches Roma have moved +1.6 rating points, against +0.8 for Real Madrid.

Roma gained 0.3 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 27 November 2018.

Roma first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 88.1 on 27 July 2017.

The highest Real Madrid have ever stood in our European rankings is #3, first reached on 26 July 2018.