Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille prediction | 11 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

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pre-match analysis

Troyes Rating: 66.4
H
24%
3.78
11 October 2026
Ligue 1
D
28%
3.95
Olympique de Marseille Rating: 76.5
A
49%
1.93
Troyes
Ranking: #200 overall, #23 in France

66.1 → 66.4 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-0 22 Aug Paris FC (H) 65.8 -0.8
1-2 29 Aug Lorient (A) 67.0 +1.2
2-6 06 Sep Strasbourg (H) 67.1 +0.1
2-0 13 Sep Lille (A) 66.9 -0.2
2-0 19 Sep Angers (A) 66.4 -0.5
Olympique de Marseille
Ranking: #58 overall, #8 in France

81.5 → 76.5 (-5.0 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 30 Aug Monaco (A) 80.4 -0.1
2-3 06 Sep Paris FC (H) 78.8 -1.6
1-0 11 Sep Rennes (A) 78.5 -0.3
4-1 17 Sep Beşiktaş (A) 77.1 -1.4
1-2 20 Sep PSG (H) 76.5 -0.6

Troyes vs Olympique de Marseille: by the numbers

Olympique de Marseille sit 142 places above Troyes in our European rankings, and 15 places above them in France.

Troyes arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Olympique de Marseille's -5.0.

Last time these teams played, on 16 April 2023, Olympique de Marseille gained 0.3 rating points.

The highest Troyes have ever stood in our European rankings is #76, first reached on 31 August 2022.

Olympique de Marseille first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 86.6 on 12 April 2018.