Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction | 11 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

11 October 2026
D
28%
3.78

Liverpool
Ranking: #8 overall, #3 in England

87.7 → 88.0 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-2 29 Aug Nottm Forest (H) 87.8 -0.8
0-2 04 Sep Ipswich (A) 87.3 -0.5
2-1 09 Sep Atl Madrid (H) 87.3 0.0
0-0 12 Sep Fulham (H) 87.3 0.0
0-1 20 Sep Bournemouth (A) 88.0 +0.7
Manchester City
Ranking: #5 overall, #2 in England

90.8 → 90.4 (-0.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-4 28 Aug Crystal Palace (A) 91.0 +0.9
1-0 05 Sep Coventry (H) 90.9 -0.1
0-2 08 Sep Porto (A) 91.6 +0.7
0-1 13 Sep Man United (A) 91.6 0.0
5-3 20 Sep Sunderland (H) 90.4 -1.2

Liverpool vs Manchester City: by the numbers

Liverpool trail Manchester City by 3 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 1 in England.

Liverpool arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving +0.3 rating points over their last 10 matches against Manchester City's -0.4.

Liverpool lost 1.2 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 8 February 2026.

The best xGtoday rating Liverpool have ever held is 97.6, first set on 1 February 2025.

The highest Manchester City have ever stood in our European rankings is #1, first reached on 26 July 2018.