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Home team
Score of the match
Away team
Rating of the home team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Barcelona is now rated 93.8, down 0.2 from their previous rating.
Rating of the away team and change in their rating as a result of this match. Real Madrid is now rated 94.2, up 0.2 from their previous rating.
Pre-match predictions of the outcome, based on the ratings of the two teams and Barcelona's home field advantage. xGtoday predicted a 45% chance Barcelona would win, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance Real Madrid would win. The green outline around the 27% indicates that the match ended in a draw.
Home team
Away team
xGtoday estimates a 45% chance of the home team (Man City) winning the match.
xGtoday estimates a 27% chance of a draw
xGtoday estimates a 28% chance of the away team (Liverpool) winning the match
Greatest odds found for the home team to win
Greatest odds found for a draw. Green outline and stars highlight that xGtoday sees a higher likelihood of this result than the market. More stars indicate greater value.
Greatest odds found for the away team to win
pre-match analysis
83.6 → 83.3 (-0.3 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug Napoli (A) | 82.7 -0.3 | |
| 04 Sep Genoa (A) | 83.2 +0.5 | |
| 10 Sep RB Leipzig (H) | 83.7 +0.5 | |
| 14 Sep Parma (H) | 83.9 +0.2 | |
| 20 Sep Frosinone (A) | 83.3 -0.6 |
81.7 → 83.3 (+1.6 over last 10 games)
| Rating | ||
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug Lecce (A) | 84.0 +0.5 | |
| 05 Sep Atalanta (H) | 84.7 +0.7 | |
| 10 Sep Fenerbahçe (A) | 83.6 -1.1 | |
| 14 Sep Torino (A) | 84.0 +0.4 | |
| 19 Sep Inter (H) | 83.3 -0.7 |
Como and Roma are level in our European rankings.
Over their last 10 matches Roma have moved +1.6 rating points, against -0.3 for Como.
Como gained 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 15 March 2026.
The highest Como have ever stood in our European rankings is #17, first reached on 12 September 2026.
The best xGtoday rating Roma have ever held is 88.1, first set on 27 July 2017.