Watford vs Burnley prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

10 October 2026
D
29%
3.60

Watford
Ranking: #362 overall, #47 in England

63.4 → 61.0 (-2.4 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-0 01 Sep Swansea City (A) 63.0 -0.7
1-0 05 Sep West Brom (A) 63.4 +0.4
2-1 08 Sep Preston (H) 62.5 -0.9
1-2 12 Sep Stoke City (H) 61.4 -1.1
1-0 18 Sep Bristol City (A) 61.0 -0.4
Burnley
Ranking: #214 overall, #28 in England

68.7 → 65.6 (-3.1 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 02 Sep Boro (H) 68.0 -0.1
1-2 05 Sep Bristol City (H) 67.1 -0.9
1-1 08 Sep Wrexham (A) 67.2 +0.1
3-1 12 Sep Swansea City (A) 66.7 -0.5
1-1 19 Sep Derby (H) 65.6 -1.1

Watford vs Burnley: by the numbers

There are 148 places between these two in our European rankings, with Burnley the higher, and 19 places between them in England.

Watford arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -2.4 rating points over their last 10 matches against Burnley's -3.1.

Last time these teams played, on 18 April 2025, Watford lost 0.5 rating points.

Watford first climbed to joint #33 in our European rankings on 8 November 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Burnley have ever held is 79.3, first set on 30 November 2019.