Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

10 October 2026
D
20%
5.95

Real Madrid
Ranking: #6 overall, #2 in Spain

89.4 → 90.2 (+0.8 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-0 04 Sep Betis (A) 90.9 +0.6
2-1 08 Sep Inter (H) 91.3 +0.4
4-1 12 Sep Rayo (H) 91.4 +0.1
2-3 15 Sep Elche (A) 91.7 +0.3
2-1 20 Sep Atl Madrid (A) 90.2 -1.5
Villarreal CF
Ranking: #25 overall, #4 in Spain

80.5 → 81.8 (+1.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 05 Sep La Coruña (H) 82.1 -0.3
3-2 08 Sep Dortmund (A) 81.7 -0.4
1-2 14 Sep Betis (H) 80.2 -1.5
1-3 17 Sep Málaga (A) 81.2 +1.0
3-1 20 Sep Levante (H) 81.8 +0.6

Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF: by the numbers

Real Madrid sit 19 places above Villarreal CF in our European rankings, and 2 places above them in Spain.

Over their last 10 matches Villarreal CF have moved +1.3 rating points, against +0.8 for Real Madrid.

Villarreal CF lost 0.6 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 24 January 2026.

Real Madrid first climbed to #3 in our European rankings on 26 July 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Villarreal CF have ever held is 85.6, first set on 16 March 2022.