Derby County vs Wrexham prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

10 October 2026
D
28%
3.40

Derby County
Ranking: #250 overall, #36 in England

65.7 → 64.1 (-1.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-2 01 Sep Portsmouth (A) 63.6 0.0
3-0 05 Sep West Ham (A) 63.4 -0.2
0-1 09 Sep West Brom (H) 64.0 +0.6
1-2 12 Sep Birmingham (H) 62.9 -1.1
1-1 19 Sep Burnley (A) 64.1 +1.2
Wrexham
Ranking: #239 overall, #34 in England

64.2 → 64.5 (+0.3 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-3 02 Sep Millwall (A) 65.7 +0.7
0-0 05 Sep Swansea City (A) 65.9 +0.2
1-1 08 Sep Burnley (H) 65.7 -0.2
6-0 11 Sep West Ham (A) 65.4 -0.3
2-1 19 Sep Southampton (H) 64.5 -0.9

Derby County vs Wrexham: by the numbers

Wrexham sit 11 places above Derby County in our European rankings, and 2 places above them in England.

Over their last 10 matches Wrexham have moved +0.3 rating points, against -1.6 for Derby County.

Last time these teams played, on 4 January 2026, Derby County lost 0.3 rating points.

Derby County first climbed to joint #147 in our European rankings on 23 December 2018.

The best xGtoday rating Wrexham have ever held is 66.0, first set on 21 February 2026.