Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

10 October 2026
D
27%
4.20

Chelsea
Ranking: #14 overall, #6 in England

88.2 → 85.0 (-3.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
2-3 24 Aug Fulham (A) 86.6 +0.6
4-3 30 Aug Brighton (H) 87.3 +0.7
2-1 06 Sep Arsenal (A) 86.9 -0.4
2-2 12 Sep Hull City (H) 85.9 -1.0
3-0 18 Sep Brentford (A) 85.0 -0.9
Bournemouth
Ranking: #17 overall, #8 in England

85.2 → 84.0 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-1 29 Aug Everton (H) 84.2 -0.1
2-2 05 Sep Newcastle (A) 84.8 +0.6
2-2 12 Sep Brentford (H) 85.4 +0.6
1-2 17 Sep Real Sociedad (A) 84.7 -0.7
0-1 20 Sep Liverpool (H) 84.0 -0.7

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: by the numbers

Bournemouth trail Chelsea by 3 places in our proprietary European rankings, and by 2 in England.

Bournemouth arrive on the stronger recent trend, moving -1.2 rating points over their last 10 matches against Chelsea's -3.2.

Last time these teams played, on 30 December 2025, Chelsea lost 0.8 rating points.

The best xGtoday rating Chelsea have ever held is 94.6, first set on 22 August 2021.

The highest Bournemouth have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #12, first reached on 3 February 2025.