Arsenal vs Leeds United prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

10 October 2026
D
16%
5.08

Arsenal
Ranking: #2 overall, #1 in England

93.9 → 94.5 (+0.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 31 Aug Aston Villa (A) 93.9 +0.2
2-1 06 Sep Chelsea (H) 94.3 +0.4
0-1 09 Sep Napoli (A) 94.9 +0.6
0-2 12 Sep Sunderland (A) 94.5 -0.4
3-0 19 Sep Brighton (A) 94.5 0.0
Leeds United
Ranking: #20 overall, #9 in England

83.8 → 82.6 (-1.2 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-1 22 Aug Nottm Forest (A) 81.7 -0.1
1-1 30 Aug Brentford (H) 81.5 -0.2
1-1 05 Sep Brighton (A) 82.1 +0.6
4-1 14 Sep Newcastle (H) 82.7 +0.6
0-0 20 Sep Crystal Palace (H) 82.6 -0.1

Arsenal vs Leeds United: by the numbers

Arsenal sit 18 places above Leeds United in our European rankings, and 8 places above them in England.

The recent trend shows Arsenal on the rise, +0.6 rating points over their last 10 matches, while Leeds United has gone the other way at -1.2.

Leeds United lost 0.5 rating points in the last contest between these two, on 31 January 2026.

Arsenal first reached their highest ever xGtoday rating of 96.8 on 7 February 2026.

The highest Leeds United have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #17, first reached on 20 April 2026.