Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen prediction | 10 Oct 2026 | xGtoday

10 October 2026
D
20%
6.00

Ajax
Ranking: #113 overall, #5 in Netherlands

69.2 → 71.9 (+2.7 over last 10 games)

Rating
0-4 30 Aug Telstar (A) 71.1 +0.4
1-3 05 Sep PSV (H) 71.0 -0.1
1-5 12 Sep Fortuna (A) 71.6 +0.6
5-1 15 Sep Willem II (H) 71.7 +0.1
2-2 19 Sep Excelsior (H) 71.9 +0.2
NEC Nijmegen
Ranking: #253 overall, #9 in Netherlands

67.5 → 63.9 (-3.6 over last 10 games)

Rating
1-3 05 Sep Feyenoord (H) 67.8 -0.2
2-2 08 Sep Excelsior (H) 67.1 -0.7
3-0 12 Sep Cambuur (A) 65.5 -1.6
5-0 17 Sep Juventus (A) 65.4 -0.1
1-1 20 Sep Go Ahead (H) 63.9 -1.5

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen: by the numbers

There are 140 places between these two in our European rankings, with Ajax the higher, and 4 places between them in Netherlands.

Over their last 10 matches Ajax have moved +2.7 rating points, against -3.6 for NEC Nijmegen.

Last time these teams played, on 21 February 2026, NEC Nijmegen came away with their rating unchanged.

The best xGtoday rating Ajax have ever held is 88.3, first set on 23 April 2022.

The highest NEC Nijmegen have ever stood in our European rankings is joint #159, first reached on 15 August 2026.